Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.305067e-05 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081
2025-02-23 2.481854e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066 0.000081 0.000099
2025-03-02 1.816951e-05 0.000026 0.000037 0.000050 0.000067 0.000086 0.000111
2025-03-09 1.391927e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000068 0.000092 0.000123
2025-03-16 1.091416e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000047 0.000069 0.000097 0.000135
2025-03-23 8.796727e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000047 0.000071 0.000103 0.000147
2025-03-30 7.039399e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000046 0.000073 0.000109 0.000158
2025-04-06 5.443022e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000073 0.000111 0.000166
2025-04-13 3.954656e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000041 0.000071 0.000111 0.000170
2025-04-20 3.021367e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000070 0.000114 0.000178
2025-04-27 2.460656e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000072 0.000119 0.000189
2025-05-04 2.016836e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000125 0.000200
2025-05-11 1.818326e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000138 0.000225
2025-05-18 1.375029e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000042 0.000083 0.000145 0.000240
2025-05-25 8.864437e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000082 0.000146 0.000248
2025-06-01 5.872158e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000082 0.000150 0.000258
2025-06-08 3.866684e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000082 0.000154 0.000270
2025-06-15 2.586519e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000160 0.000284
2025-06-22 1.613361e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000165 0.000296
2025-06-29 8.545456e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000084 0.000167 0.000305
2025-07-06 3.287268e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000032 0.000081 0.000165 0.000308
2025-07-13 1.261188e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000080 0.000167 0.000316
2025-07-20 5.334959e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000031 0.000082 0.000173 0.000330